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Probability, Conditional Probability, Bayes Theorem
 
Probability, Conditional Probability, Bayes Theorem
 
Disease example
 
Disease example
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Definition: Probability is a measure of the likelihood of an event to occur. Many events cannot be predicted with total certainty. We can predict only the chance of an event to occur i.e., how likely they are going to happen, using it. Probability can range from 0 to 1, where 0 means the event to be an impossible one and 1 indicates a certain event. The probability of all the events in a sample space adds up to 1.
  
  

Revision as of 10:40, 3 November 2022

Probability : Group 4

Kalpit Patel Rick Jiang Bowen Wang Kyle Arrowood


This is an edit

Probability, Conditional Probability, Bayes Theorem Disease example

Definition: Probability is a measure of the likelihood of an event to occur. Many events cannot be predicted with total certainty. We can predict only the chance of an event to occur i.e., how likely they are going to happen, using it. Probability can range from 0 to 1, where 0 means the event to be an impossible one and 1 indicates a certain event. The probability of all the events in a sample space adds up to 1.



Baye's Theorem Derivation: Starting with the definition of Conditional Probability

Bayes derivation.png

Looking at step 1 with the definition of conditional probabilities, it is assumed that P(A) and P(B) are not 0.

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