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Given that a train arrives at a train station every hour (1:20, 2:20, 3:20 etc.) and that I go to the train station from 1:00 to 2:00 how much time do I wait?
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[[Category:ECE302Fall2008_ProfSanghavi]]
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[[Category:probabilities]]
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[[Category:ECE302]]
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[[Category:problem solving]]
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=Question=
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Given that a train arrives at a train station every hour (1:20, 2:20, 3:20 etc.) and that I go to the train station from 1:00 to 2:00 how much time do I wait? <BR><BR>
  
x= time I arrive
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=Answer=
y= wait time
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If you go to the edit page you can see this better. I am not sure how to get wiki to show this the way I want it to. If you know how please feel free to fix it.<BR><BR>
  
A={x<=1:20} P[A]=1/3
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x= time I arrive<BR>
B={X>=1:20} P[B]=2/3
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y= wait time<BR><BR>
  
Theorem of Total Probability
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A={x<=1:20} P[A]=1/3<BR>
fY(y)=fY/A(y)*P[A] + fY/B(y)*P[B]
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B={X>=1:20} P[B]=2/3<BR><BR>
<nowiki>
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fY/A
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Theorem of Total Probability<BR>
  |
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fY(y)=fY/A(y)*P[A] + fY/B(y)*P[B]<BR><BR>
3 |_____
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  |    |
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  |_____|______
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      1/3
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fY/B
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     |
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fY/A<BR>
2/3 |    ______
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  |<BR>
     |    |      |
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3 |_____<BR>
     |____|______|______
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  |    |<BR>
         1/3    1
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  |_____|______<BR>
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      1/3<BR><BR>
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fY/B<BR>
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     |<BR>
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2/3 |    ______<BR>
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     |    |      |<BR>
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     |____|______|______<BR>
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         1/3    1<BR><BR>
  
  
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     |          |
 
     |          |
 
     |___________|______
 
     |___________|______
                 1
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                 1<BR><BR>
</nowiki>
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[[Main_Page_ECE302Fall2008sanghavi|Back to ECE302 Fall 2008 Prof. Sanghavi]]

Latest revision as of 13:20, 22 November 2011

Question

Given that a train arrives at a train station every hour (1:20, 2:20, 3:20 etc.) and that I go to the train station from 1:00 to 2:00 how much time do I wait?

Answer

If you go to the edit page you can see this better. I am not sure how to get wiki to show this the way I want it to. If you know how please feel free to fix it.

x= time I arrive
y= wait time

A={x<=1:20} P[A]=1/3
B={X>=1:20} P[B]=2/3

Theorem of Total Probability
fY(y)=fY/A(y)*P[A] + fY/B(y)*P[B]


fY/A

 |

3 |_____

 |     |
|_____|______
1/3

fY/B

   |

2/3 | ______

   |    |      |
|____|______|______
1/3 1


FY(y)

   |
1  |___________
   |           |
   |___________|______
               1


Back to ECE302 Fall 2008 Prof. Sanghavi

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