(New page: <math>\theta </math> is uniform [0,1] supp. <math>\theta</math> = 1/3 MSE = E[ (<math>\theta</math> - 1/3)^2 ] = E[ <math>\theta</math>^2 - 2*(1/3)*<math>\theta</math> + (1/3)^2 ] = 1/3 ...) |
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<math>\theta </math> is uniform [0,1] | <math>\theta </math> is uniform [0,1] | ||
| − | supp. <math>\theta</math> = 1/3 | + | supp. <math>\theta^{hat}</math> = 1/3 |
MSE = E[ (<math>\theta</math> - 1/3)^2 ] = E[ <math>\theta</math>^2 - 2*(1/3)*<math>\theta</math> + (1/3)^2 ] | MSE = E[ (<math>\theta</math> - 1/3)^2 ] = E[ <math>\theta</math>^2 - 2*(1/3)*<math>\theta</math> + (1/3)^2 ] | ||
= 1/3 - 2(1/3)(1/2) + (1/3)^2 = (1/3)^2 = 1/9 | = 1/3 - 2(1/3)(1/2) + (1/3)^2 = (1/3)^2 = 1/9 | ||
| − | supp. instead <math>\theta</math> = 1/2 | + | supp. instead <math>\theta^{hat}</math> = 1/2 |
MSE = E[ (<math>\theta</math> - 1/2)^2 ] = E[ <math>\theta</math>^2 - 2*(1/3)*<math>\theta</math> + (1/4) ] = 1/3 - 1/2 + 1/4 = 1/12 | MSE = E[ (<math>\theta</math> - 1/2)^2 ] = E[ <math>\theta</math>^2 - 2*(1/3)*<math>\theta</math> + (1/4) ] = 1/3 - 1/2 + 1/4 = 1/12 | ||
Revision as of 16:08, 7 December 2008
$ \theta $ is uniform [0,1]
supp. $ \theta^{hat} $ = 1/3
MSE = E[ ($ \theta $ - 1/3)^2 ] = E[ $ \theta $^2 - 2*(1/3)*$ \theta $ + (1/3)^2 ] = 1/3 - 2(1/3)(1/2) + (1/3)^2 = (1/3)^2 = 1/9
supp. instead $ \theta^{hat} $ = 1/2
MSE = E[ ($ \theta $ - 1/2)^2 ] = E[ $ \theta $^2 - 2*(1/3)*$ \theta $ + (1/4) ] = 1/3 - 1/2 + 1/4 = 1/12
