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a)Let x be number of hours to catch a fish
 
a)Let x be number of hours to catch a fish
  Pr[x>=a]<=(E[x]/a)  <- def of markov inqeuality
+
Pr[x>=a]<=(E[x]/a)  <- def of markov inqeuality
  plug in numbers: E[x]=1 (given)  a=3
+
plug in numbers: E[x]=1 (given)  a=3
  so we get:
+
so we get:
  Pr[take 3 hours to catch a fish]= Pr[x>=3]<=(1/3)
+
Pr[take 3 hours to catch a fish]= Pr[x>=3]<=(1/3)
 
b)Pr[not catch any fish in 2 hours]
 
b)Pr[not catch any fish in 2 hours]
= 1 - Pr[catch fish in 2+ hours]  
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= 1 - Pr[catch fish in 2+ hours]  
= 1 - (Pr[x>=2]<=(1/2))
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= 1 - (Pr[x>=2]<=(1/2))
>=(1/2)
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>=(1/2)

Revision as of 07:05, 3 November 2008

a)Let x be number of hours to catch a fish Pr[x>=a]<=(E[x]/a) <- def of markov inqeuality plug in numbers: E[x]=1 (given) a=3 so we get: Pr[take 3 hours to catch a fish]= Pr[x>=3]<=(1/3) b)Pr[not catch any fish in 2 hours] = 1 - Pr[catch fish in 2+ hours] = 1 - (Pr[x>=2]<=(1/2)) >=(1/2)

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