(New page: For the second part you pick a car after your friend picks a goat. FRIEND P[Car] = 1/3 P[Goat]=2/3 YOU P[Car]=1/2 P[Goat]=1...) |
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| Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
For the second part you pick a car after your friend picks a goat. | For the second part you pick a car after your friend picks a goat. | ||
| − | + | FRIEND | |
| − | P[Car] = 1/3 P[Goat]=2/3 | + | P[Car] = 1/3 P[Goat]=2/3 |
| − | + | YOU | |
| − | + | P[Car]=1/2 P[Goat]=1/2 | |
Use this as a binary transmission system, so P[Car|Friend chooses Goat] = (2/3)(1/2) = 1/3 | Use this as a binary transmission system, so P[Car|Friend chooses Goat] = (2/3)(1/2) = 1/3 | ||
Latest revision as of 15:49, 16 September 2008
For the second part you pick a car after your friend picks a goat.
FRIEND
P[Car] = 1/3 P[Goat]=2/3
YOU
P[Car]=1/2 P[Goat]=1/2
Use this as a binary transmission system, so P[Car|Friend chooses Goat] = (2/3)(1/2) = 1/3
